BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Elgin Valley
Class: 1A Class Rank: 73 Conference: (5-13-0) Overall: (11-22-0) Overall Strength = 16.61
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 05/21/2012 Home W 20.55 5 4 1A 44 (13-19) Edgewood-Colesburg 3.94 -2.94
2 05/22/2012 Home L 12.15 5 10 1A 71 (10-15) East Buchanan -4.46 -0.54
3 05/29/2012 Home L * 13.64 1 11 1A 15 (26-13) Turkey Valley -2.97 -7.03
4 05/29/2012 Home L * 10.64 0 13 1A 15 (26-13) Turkey Valley -5.97 -7.03 5 innings
5 05/31/2012 Away L * 19.57 1 3 2A 34 (19-13) SumnerFredericksburg 2.96 -4.96
6 05/31/2012 Away L * 20.57 5 6 2A 34 (19-13) SumnerFredericksburg 3.96 -4.96
7 06/02/2012 Away L 17.63 0 10 3A 10 (28-11) Decorah 1.02 -11.02
8 06/02/2012 Away W 19.83 8 4 1A 80 ( 8-18) Tripoli 3.22 0.78
9 06/05/2012 Away L 17.53 8 9 1A 52 (17-10) Montezuma 0.92 -1.92
10 06/07/2012 Away L * 11.80 2 12 2A 32 (23-20) North Fayette -4.81 -5.19
11 06/07/2012 Away L * 14.80 2 9 2A 32 (23-20) North Fayette -1.81 -5.19
12 06/09/2012 Away L 12.55 0 4 1A 72 ( 9-22) Riceville -4.06 0.06
13 06/09/2012 Away W 18.90 9 8 2A 71 (11-21) Central Springs 2.29 -1.29 Riceville Quad
14 06/12/2012 Home L 15.51 1 5 2A 64 (15-12) Nashua-Plainfield -1.10 -2.90
15 06/14/2012 Home L * 15.59 0 3 2A 69 (13-22) Clayton Ridge -1.02 -1.98
16 06/14/2012 Home W * 21.59 4 1 2A 69 (13-22) Clayton Ridge 4.98 -1.98
17 06/15/2012 Home W 20.78 5 1 1A 72 ( 9-22) Riceville 4.17 -0.17
18 06/16/2012 Unknown L * 17.47 5 6 2A 69 (13-22) Clayton Ridge 0.86 -1.86
19 06/16/2012 Home L * 18.04 6 10 2A 32 (23-20) North Fayette 1.43 -5.43 Valley Tourney
20 06/18/2012 Home L * 6.11 0 17 2A 26 (25-12) South Winneshiek -10.50 -6.50 4 Innings
21 06/18/2012 Home W * 24.11 4 3 2A 26 (25-12) South Winneshiek 7.50 -6.50
22 06/20/2012 Away L 13.27 3 9 1A 45 (15-21) North Linn -3.34 -2.66
23 06/21/2012 Away W * 18.59 3 1 1A 70 ( 7-20) Postville 1.98 0.02
24 06/21/2012 Away W * 18.59 6 4 1A 70 ( 7-20) Postville 1.98 0.02
25 06/25/2012 Home L * 9.67 1 12 2A 51 (11-13) Monona MFL-MarMac -6.94 -4.06
26 06/25/2012 Home W * 25.67 7 2 2A 51 (11-13) Monona MFL-MarMac 9.06 -4.06
27 06/27/2012 Home L 10.50 1 12 3A 53 (11-26) Cresco Crestwood -6.11 -4.89
28 06/28/2012 Away L * 16.14 4 11 1A 17 (24-17) Lansing Kee -0.47 -6.53
29 06/28/2012 Away L * 13.14 3 13 1A 17 (24-17) Lansing Kee -3.47 -6.53
30 07/02/2012 Away W 21.91 7 5 2A 55 (12-15) Bellevue 5.30 -3.30
31 07/05/2012 Home L 13.55 2 5 1A 76 ( 9-21) Arlington Starmont -3.06 0.06
32 07/06/2012 Away W 21.29 5 1 1A 62 (17-11) Dunkerton 4.68 -0.68
33 07/10/2012 Unknown L 16.41 0 1 1A 62 (17-11) Dunkerton -0.20 -0.80
Averages 16.61 3.4 6.8
Best game: 25.67 = 5 point win over Monona MFL-MarMac
Worst game: 6.11 = 17 point loss to Calmar South Winneshiek
Team stdev: 4.46